Yesterday, Ontario's Liberal Finance Minister Dwight Duncan introduced harmonized sales tax legislation at Queen's Park. As most of you are probably aware by now, the bill would lead to the harmonization of the 5 per cent GST and the 8 per cent PST for July 1st, 2010.
This policy proposal, though favoured by the vast majority of economists, has been met with loud opposition from the moment it was first introduced by the McGuinty government. Loudest among the critics, perhaps, is Progressive Conservative leader Team Hudak, who has attempted to re-brand the HST as "Dalton's sales tax (DST) on everything" and set up a
website urging Ontarians to help "stop the DST".
The opposition is, in large part, aimed at the fact that certain items -- like haircuts, firewood and gym fees -- that were exempted from the PST will no longer be exempt under the HST. According to a
special report commissioned by TD Bank, this would result in a 1.5 per cent increase on the effective tax rate on consumption. The removal of exemptions however, in my view, is one of the HST's main strengths, insofar as it removes distortions from the tax code and forces people to make decisions based on the real costs and benefits of products and services. It also has the added benefit of simplifying our complex tax code.
Of course, to offset the added burden, it would be nice to have a reduction in the overall HST rate or, better yet, cuts in marginal income tax rates, accompany the introduction of the HST. A sentiment probably shared with the Progressive Conservative Party. But, with their opposition, the PCs are letting the perfect be the enemy of the good. And the HST is still very good.
The HST would be a value-added tax, like the GST, and applied only on the final point of consumption, as opposed to a retail sales tax like the PST which applies to most inputs that businesses use along the chain of production. By eliminating the tax on inputs, analysts at the C.D. Howe Institute
estimate that harmonization would cut 11 points off Ontario's effective tax rate on new investment by 2012. Businesses would also benefit from the HST in the shrinking of their tax compliance burden. According to
TD Bank economists, "the majority of [these] cost savings will pass onto consumers in the form of lower prices". Their report concludes that "harmonization is an important step to increase the competitiveness of these provinces' economies (referring to Ontario and BC) and complements actions the two governments have taken on capital and corporate income taxes".
In another
report released earlier this month by Dr. Jack Mintz, the Palmer Chair of Public Policy at the University of Calgary predicts that "a harmonized sales tax combined with Ontario's proposed corporate income tax cuts and other recent tax changes would significantly increase jobs, boost capital investment and lead to higher annual incomes for Ontarians." Specifically, the report predicts that over the next 10 years, Ontario will see 591,000 net new jobs, increased capital investment of $47 Billion, and increased annual income of up to 8.8 per cent, or $29.4 Billion.
Some of you may remember an
earlier post I wrote about Canada's "lackluster productivity" being a serious problem. Well, this, the HST, is part of the solution. But, apparently, many "conservatives" don't like it. Among economists however, there is near unanimity on the issue.
With its opposition to the HST, the PC Party is gambling with its credibility on economic matters, and losing.
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